Disease Intelligence

Starting where the burden is greatest and the data can drive action.

Epinova begins with malaria and dengue - two climate-sensitive, vector-borne diseases where earlier warning and sharper targeting can protect large numbers of people.

Initial programme focus

Two geographies, two diseases, one approach.

NigeriaMalariaInitial focus · pilot in developmentMaharashtra, IndiaDengueInitial focus · pilot in development
Future expansion (roadmap)Other African countries · GCC · South Asia · Southeast Asia · Europe · North America

Predictive disease forecast

Forecasts with honest uncertainty.

An illustrative example of how forecasts, intervals and drivers are presented. All values are simulated.

060120180250Forecast →W1W7W13W19W25W31Epidemiological week (simulated)

+1%projected change to peak within 6 weeks (simulated)

Interval widens with horizon: uncertainty grows the further ahead the model looks.

What is driving this forecast

  • Rainfall (lagged 4–6 weeks)34%
  • Recent case trend27%
  • Temperature18%
  • Net coverage gap13%
  • Other factors8%

Illustrative forecast - simulated values, fictional areas. Not a real prediction.

Explore disease intelligence for your programme.

Discuss the diseases, geographies and decisions that matter to you.